Good US economic data, a strong dollar and possible Slik Road selloff push Bitcoin back down
Last Updated on 9 January 2025 by CryptoTips.eu
As predicted earlier this week, the strong US economy caused Bitcoin’s price to fall again. That sounds very strange in itself, but it makes sense. As the United States is still improving economically, the Federal Reserve now has less of a reason to lower interest rates quickly (bad news for Bitcoin, which is still seen as a risky investment, and will thus attract less new institutional investors).
Today it was also announced that the US government (DOJ) has given green light for the sale of 69,370 BTC that was seized from Silk Road. Although it is not yet certain that this will actually be sold, it is causing tension in the Bitcoin market.
Job data looks promising, but the stock market isn't responding positively. Why? Because the Federal Reserve might not lower interest rates, assuming the job market is robust pic.twitter.com/2JJ3NjIGrU
— BaoBaokim (@baobaokim) January 7, 2025
Also due to the difference with other major economies, the dollar is becoming increasingly stronger (bad news for Bitcoin, as investors are more likely to invest in dollars than in crypto). Bitcoin is trading for $94,300 at the time of writing.
Dollar
The DXY or dollar Index is an indicator that measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, such as the euro, the yen or the British pound. In other words, it is a kind of “thermometer” for the strength of the dollar in global markets. When the DXY rises, it means the dollar is strengthening against these other global currencies, which can have significant implications for the financial markets as a lot of commodities are quoted in dollars.
With the strong dollar becoming a real problem, I expected Bitcoin to be in the $80,000 range by now. This speaks to the strength of the underlying bid and the market's expectations that the Fed will have to act; otherwise, things will start breaking.
— Jamie Coutts CMT (@Jamie1Coutts) January 7, 2025
Regardless of the… pic.twitter.com/uVYYbpRv2o
For example, a strong dollar makes dollar-denominated assets such as Bitcoin more expensive for international investors. This dampens demand for Bitcoins and puts downward pressure on the price.
Donald Trump reacted to the new economic data during his usual press briefing, declaring that “interest rates are far too high,” reigniting discussions about the future of US monetary policy.
As we said last month, if Jay Powell (Fed Chairman) does not lower interest rates soon, Trump may just find a way to replace him.