Bitcoin’s Current Pullback – 2018 Style Crash Or Healthy Correction?
Last Updated on 19 May 2021 by CryptoTips.eu
Bitcoin has known many ups and downs already in its past, even though the coin only has a history of 12 years or so. Those of us who’ve been around for a while, remember the widowmaker of corrections, the painful one of 2018 when Bitcoin lost some 80% from the top. That was gruesome for those of us HODLing.
This time round, people are wondering whether the size of the current correction is comparable to that legendary move.
#Bitcoin Bull Market Duration:
— Bitcoin Archive 🗄🚀🌔 (@BTC_Archive) May 17, 2021
2017: 365 days
2021: 200 days so far...
We’re just getting started! 🚀 pic.twitter.com/d9mTlQL3mI
At the time, the current selloff has put Bitcoin at some 40% below its latest all time high of $65k, which it reached about a month ago (on 14 April to be exact). With that, the current correction is the deepest we’ve seen since the bull market of 2020-2021 started, but in percentage terms it is not unlike those witnessed during the 2017 run-up in fact.
As Elon Musk reverses his #Bitcoin sentiment, we observe new entrants panic selling and hodlers stepping in to buy the dip.
— glassnode (@glassnode) May 17, 2021
This is a historically significant correction that is testing $BTC hodler conviction.
Read more in The Week On-chain👇https://t.co/g8yPbizGbB
Hence, we have to ask, is the current phase a moment for a deeper dive down, or a buying opportunity? Depends on who you ask really.
Stay away in May
First, there are those convinced that the top for 2021 is in and that it’s all downhill from now. If that is your conviction, then you are clearly on the side of CryptoWhale, whose tweets this Monday caused another Bitcoin drop. Of course, that person has been bearish for the whole of 2021, and for the year as a while, we’re still doing pretty well in terms of gains of course.
#Bitcoin has lost 36% of its market value in the last month alone, which is an estimated 17 years of inflation losses.
— Mr. Whale (@CryptoWhale) May 18, 2021
How do people still call Bitcoin a “store of value” when it’s speculative value is closely tied to the words of influential celebrities like Elon Musk?
Then there are those who claim that the month of May should make you stay away as per the old stock market adage, but that you should remember to come back in September. Not sure if that’s the same for crypto markets of course, but a crash warning for May had been sounded before.
Panic sellers
Secondly, there are those convinced that the whales are simply shaking off first time buyers that are panic selling and that you should buy the dip. In any case, the fact that Bitcoin (earlier this week) regained as from the $42k level means it still gets stopped out of its dive at important technical levels, so this is also a possibility.
As always, the next few days will provide an indication as to who is right.
Michaël van de Poppe still thinks this is a correction and Madelon Vos is also saying that we’re still in a bull market.